While I can-not pre-dict what Wik-iLeaks will leak about some major banks, I have a hunch that one of the rev-e-la-tions might be from a spe-cial New Con-structs report pro-vided to the Sen-ate Bank-ing Committee’s Sub-com-mit-tee on Secu-ri-ties, Insur-ance, and Invest-ment in late Octo-ber?2009.
In that report, we revealed that reg-u-la-tors, if they were pay-ing atten-tion, would have seen that many Wall Street firms were engag-ing in alarm-ing lev-els of credit deriv-a-tives trading (credit default swaps or CDS).
For exam-ple, the notional value of Bank of America’s (BAC) credit deriv-a-tives con-tracts at the end of 2007 was over $3 tril-lion and 5328% greater than the $57 bil-lion at the end of 2001. For Amer-i-can Inter-na-tional Group (AIG) the notional value of its credit deriv-a-tives con-tracts at the end of 2007 was $562 bil-lion and 447% greater than the $126 mil-lion at the end of 2001.
It is a won-der that Bank of Amer-ica was able to sur-vive the finan-cial cri-sis with-out the same level of bailout/takeover by the U.S. gov-ern-ment expe-ri-enced by AIG given that BAC’s credit deriv-a-tive expo-sure was so much greater. Per-haps, Wik-iLeaks will offer some insight into how that happened?
The growth in expo-sure to credit deriv-a-tives was so high that any-one pay-ing atten-tion would have noticed. So, either the reg-u-la-tors knew and chose to do noth-ing about it (i.e. Bernie Mad-off) or they sim-ply were not pay-ing atten-tion (i.e. Enron, World-Comm?etc).
The point is not that reg-u-la-tors missed or ignored clear and obvi-ous early warn-ing sig-nals of the impend-ing finan-cial fall-out that occurred years later. The point is that they seem to miss these sig-nals quite?often.
None of this sur-prises me given my expe-ri-ence work-ing with the SEC, Sen-ate Bank-ing Com-mit-tee, FDIC, Sen-a-tor Corker, and the Con-gres-sional Over-sight Panel. My pre-sen-ta-tions to them focused how to improve the integrity of the cap-i-tal mar-kets most effi-ciently by imme-di-ately fill-ing holes in the cor-po-rate finan-cial report-ing sys-tem. I high-lighted sev-eral major breaches of finan-cial dis-clo-sures that had gone unde-tected and remain uncor-rected by the SEC. For exam-ple, over the last 5 years we found 10 com-pa-nies whose income state-ments do not add up cor-rectly and 20 com-pa-nies in the last 11 years whose bal-ance sheets do not bal-ance. For more exam-ples, see the Cor-po-rate Finan-cial Dis-clo-sure Trans-gres-sions report I sub-mit-ted to the SEC and the Sen-ate Bank-ing Com-mit-tee. What you read in that report will surprise?you.
In my hum-ble opin-ion, our reg-u-la-tory frame-work (before and after over-haul) is woe-fully ill-equipped to find, track and address the finan-cial machi-na-tions con-stantly invented on Wall Street and in cor-po-rate America.
As I stated in Pri-vate Sec-tor to the Res-cue, “Given that our abil-ity to trust polit-i-cal lead-ers is low, we must rely more than ever on pri-vate enter-prise to lead our society.”
There is no sub-sti-tute for “doing the dili-gence.” Watch your back when investing in this mar-ket because no one else is watch-ing it for?you.
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