Tuesday, October 26, 2010

Starbucks a bit rich taste for $28 but more Java Junkies can justify the price

Starbucks more regular customer needs

The average number of daily clients who visit a Starbucks store has declined to an estimated 463 in 2005 at 408 in 2007, [1] beverages at lowest prices by players such as McDonalds, but because of self-cannibalization of Starbucks stores also launched.

Starbucks is facing competition from other manufacturers of specialty coffee as caribou coffee and coffee of the Peet.Nous believe that long-term economic improvement help Starbuckslimit impact competitive prices and that the company will be able to increase its average daily customer visits that continues to limit the number of store closing down productive in stores.

Cheaper priced drinks from competitors

Fastfood McDonalds have been cutting in Starbucks customer offering drinks priced segment strings more bas.Cela had the impact to attract interested customers price especially during periods of récessionnistes. In the long term, we believe that the market will be space for the two types of business models: one for price conscious customers and another for those who prefer quality at a higher price. Customers looking for the latter are likely to continue to visit Starbucks stores.

Customer impact self-cannibalization base

At the end of fiscal year 1999-2000, Starbucks has nearly 2,500 stores, but by FY 2007 this figure rose to more than 8,500. The company has added 612 net stores average approximately 1.7 per day during the exercise 1999.Ce number has almost doubled in the 2007 fiscal year when the company added 1,342 NET shops at an average rate of 3.7 per day.The number of store has given rise to some self-cannibalization and Starbucks tackles the problem closing stores.

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Starbucks has undergone a restructuring of the company in 2008-2009 closure over 890 underperforming stores [2].As the company is rethinking its strategy, we believe that this could help to increase the average customer store going forward.

The daily average Trefis Member forecasts for the number of clients by the Bank indicate an increase of about 468 2010-575 by 2016 at the base line Trefis estimate an increase of 434 2010 at 531 at the end of the forecast period Trefis.If Member estimates are indeed true, it would imply an increase of 6% Trefis price estimate for the Starbuck stock.

You can drag the trend-line above forecast to express your own views and see the sensitivity of the stock of Starbucks for the number of customers daily by store.

Our complete Starbucks stock analysis is here.

Notes:

1 Starbucks provides the number of customers weekly in its annual report .we have calculated average Starbucks Store customers per day: (client weekly traffic x 1000000) / (non-total.de company owned stores and stores licensed x 7).

2 Reported by the company

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